What is the one piece of investment guidance that has worked the best for you?
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What is the one piece of investment guidance that has worked the best for you? |
Avoid competing against those who are more skilled in your industry.
As a young a researcher, I made stock market investments. I did quite well at first; I now believe that was fortunate. I started to believe that I had information that others lacked. It is simple to overestimate your intelligence.
A friend told me that I was competing with experienced investors when things in the market didn't go well for me. He challenged me to picture a stranger competing against me in a physical sciences test. Imagine that I was competing with some stock broker to solve an elementary physics problem. Would he fare? The answer was clear—the stock broker would perform appallingly.
But here I was casually investing in a market where really intelligent full-time professionals are looking to make money. I might be able to outperform them if I focused just on the stock market. However, if it was just part-time, if I only performed cursory work, reading about businesses in the press instead of visiting them and conducting in-depth analyses, then I would be in competition with real experts.
Some people believe that everyone can win in the stock market and that it is not a game in which everyone loses. However, in every transaction, one party buys, while another party sells; therefore, they are not capable of winning on a comparative basis.
Therefore, the real professionals require a source of all the income from their line of work. I was taking on that job by making stock market investments; I had been one of those providing the capital that would eventually make the real professionals wealthy.
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